Hansen Almost Got It Right….. Suyts 2 Steps Ahead!!! Hansen Has His Own Faustian Bargain!!!

Sometimes one just has to take a bow.  Smile  I had a feeling this would pop up shortly.

image 

So our friend Jimmy Hansen has written another paper.

Climate forcing growth rates: doubling down on our Faustian bargain

As is all the rage with the nutters,  they like to quote Rahmstorf et al ‘s (2012).  Which essentially says if the globe hadn’t quit warming, it would be warmer today.  They rationalize, theorize if this happened, and that happened….. ENSO, volcanoes, and stuff happened to get in the way of our global warming.  Some of my more crude friends would put it like so…..  “and if a frog had a glass ass, he wouldn’t jump so high“.  Or, ‘if “ifs” and “buts” were candy and nuts, we’d all have a merry Christmas’

It’s really interesting lately.  They’re all running up and down rationalizing why their predictions of the world hotting up is wrong, but, then are insisting that they were really right, after they were wrong, but wrong only because….. only because…… well, you all are probably evil deniers!!!  So there!!

Jimmy is no different.  He’s uttered this silliness before.  It’s interesting how the nutters feed off of themselves.  But, I digress. 

As the title implies, Hansen says we’re doing something to keep the temps down even though CO2 levels are continuing their near exponential increases.  His final paragraph states…..

The principal implication of our present analysis probably relates to the Faustian bargain. Increased short-term masking of greenhouse gas warming by fossil fuel particulate and nitrogen pollution represents a ‘doubling down’ of the Faustian bargain, an increase in the stakes. The more we allow the Faustian debt to build, the more unmanageable the eventual consequences will be. Yet globally there are plans to build more than 1000 coal-fired power plants (Yang and Cui 2012) and plans to develop some of the dirtiest oil sources on the planet (EIA 2011). These plans should be vigorously resisted. We are already in a deep hole—it is time to stop digging.

Wow, you don’t often read conclusions worded quite like that. 

Earlier in the paper he was more specific…….

We suggest that the huge post-2000 increase of uptake by the carbon sinks implied by figure 3 is related to the simultaneous sharp increase in coal use (figure 1). Increased coal use occurred primarily in China and India (Boden et al 2012; BP 2012; see graphs at www.columbia.edu/~mhs119/Emissions/Emis_moreFigs/). [bad link Annoyed] Satellite radiance measurements for July–December, months when desert dust does not dominate aerosol amount, yield an increase of aerosol optical depth in East Asia of about 4% yr-1 during 2000–2006 (van Donkelaar et al 2008). Associated gaseous and particulate emissions increased rapidly after 2000 in China and India (Lu et al 2011, Tian et al 2010). Some decrease of the sulfur component of emissions occurred in China after 2006 as wide application of flue-gas desulfurization began to be initiated (Lu et al 2010), but this was largely offset by continuing emission increases from India (Lu et al 2011).

Hmm…… well it seems Jimmy should have read suyts space, first. 

Oops!!! Climate Nutters Wrong Again!!! Anthropogenic SO2 NOT The Reason For Warming Stall!!!

His meme is destroyed before he even got it started. 

Well, if not suyts space, then maybe some actual science literature. 

The last decade of global anthropogenic sulfur dioxide: 2000–2011 emissions

From the introduction……

Previous assessments of the global emissions of sulfur dioxide (SO2) included estimates until the year 2005 (Smith et al 2011) and showed substantial regional changes in emissions patterns in recent decades, along with a slight increase in global emissions from 2000 to 2005. Several regional studies have compiled inventories for more recent years (e.g., Tørseth et al 2012, EEA 2011, Lu et al 2011, Wang and Hao 2012, US EPA 2012) and a number of countries submit emissions data to international bodies under various international treaties (e.g., UNFCCC: www.unfccc.org, UNECE CLRTAP: www.ceip.at). However, a global assessment covering recent years has been missing and we, therefore, present here an estimate of global SO2 emissions up to 2011.

This work makes use of the statistical data on energy consumption until 2011 (BP 2012, IEA 2012), and recent reporting under several international treaties. The results are compared with previous global and regional assessments.

Notice Klimont et al are using some of the same sources Hansen quoted.  Except, Klimont seems a bit more comprehensive. …… okay, a lot more…… uhmm, I believe “robust” is the word cli-sci likes to use. 

Jimmy did get some of it right.  India is continuing to increase their SO2 emissions.  But, the globe?  Not so much. 

image

Now, astute people would note this is a different time frame.  Just so there’s no confusion, From Klimont’s SI table 3, I was able to graph the global estimates from 2000 to 2011.

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Jimmy quoted to 2006 and then just guessed the rest.  Likely because it fit the narrative he wished to present.  As you can see, from that point, global SO2 emissions have significantly dropped off.  As they typically have been for nearly 25 years!!!!

I’m told science is coming up with a hypothesis and then trying to prove yourself wrong.  When will these cli-sci nutters start actually doing, … you know, …… science

Faustian bargain……  was Hansen’s bargain a trade off between advocating and actually doing science?  I’ll be charitable and say he was probably just too busy to worry about the details of SO2 emissions for the last 6 years!!!!  Even though his entire hypothesis depends on knowing what occurred recently!! 

Jimmy, Rahmy, Kaufmann, and Mikey ……… try again, ladies, you’re incorrect. 

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20 Responses to Hansen Almost Got It Right….. Suyts 2 Steps Ahead!!! Hansen Has His Own Faustian Bargain!!!

  1. Bruce of Newcastle says:

    The problem for Hansen and other CAGW fans is the SO2/aerosols hypothesis is a self inflicted foot injury for them.

    If it is false, it means sceptics are right – that the Sun is the main driver through its magnetic field affecting cloud cover.

    If it is true, it says that we can burn as much coal as we want. All we have to do is turn off all the expensive flue-gas desulfurization units the EPA made power companies install in the 70’s and 80’s. The extra SO2 not captured would then cool the climate.

    So which do you want to take Dr Hansen, the red pill or the blue pill?

    • suyts says:

      I’d say, given that the SO2 emissions have been generally declining since 1990, we can say Hansen and their silly hypothesis is proven wrong.

  2. tckev says:

    As I said at Steve blog http://stevengoddard.wordpress.com/2013/03/27/hansen-caught-lying-again/#comment-208875
    Hansen is blaming a lot of cooling on “human-made aerosols” even though the measurement of them is very shaky. Back to his favorite method of using an unverifiable hypothesis.
    He invents some nonsense –
    “So is the new data we present here good news or bad news, and how does it alter the ‘Faustian bargain’?…”
    And this complete flim-flam that allows him to blame everything on those productive Far East countries that is actually getting on with making things.
    “Also, despite the absence of accurate global aerosol measurements, it seems that the aerosol cooling effect is probably increasing based on evidence of aerosol increases in the Far East and increasing ‘background’ stratospheric aerosols.”

    All at NASA should hang their heads in shame for retaining this idiot.

  3. leftinbrooklyn says:

    So, basically, if the US breadbasket becomes a desert wasteland, or, gets covered by a mile deep of ice, either way it’s my fault.

  4. Me says:

    Why do you think they are changing their tune yet again to Extreme Weather now? Ya know it used to Globull Warming, then Climate Change, then Climate Disruption. 😆

  5. Latitude says:

    …and on that note! LOL

  6. DirkH says:

    Fun thing is EU media starts to hang out the climate scientists to dry while the media front in the US is still pushing the CO2AGW line, last with Revkin interviewing Shakun, – Marcotte and Shakun got absolutely no play in Europe….

    Maybe the CFR first wants to push through carbon taxes / subsidy schemes in the US before they drop CO2AGW there as well. Our Bilderbergers (who are in control of European media) already have, as they probably need them for trying to herd EU slaves into some direction other than destroying the empire.

  7. Alfred Alexander says:

    Great! Thanks
    Alfred

  8. PhilJourdan says:

    Interesting he uses the term Faustian Bargain. A Faustian bargain is not about a high vigorish. It never has been. It is about not getting what you want, but getting what you asked for. So he is ignorant in not only Climate science, but in mythology as well.

    The Faustian bargain is believing in Climate science, but forgetting to stipulate that everyone must believe in it. No one but the Devil wins in a Faustian Bargain.

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