I’m hopeful this won’t be like the last couple of elections, where they were essentially over as soon as they started. So, I’ll have this up to give maps, and electoral vote tallies as we go through the evening.
I’ll start with a base map, of states I’m reasonably sure will go one way or the other, and the electoral tally. …….
If you see one of the called states move in a different direction, then, you’ll know all hell has broke loose! I’ll alter the map as I get the various results!
My appeal ……. I would ask all potential voters, who are not well informed on the issues, to please refrain from voting. Ill-informed voters are why we have the problems we have today. Stop hurting us!!!!
I pray God guides the American public and give us the wisdom to make correct choices today. The future of the world depends on it.
Commentary ……….
Indiana, Vermont, and Kentucky have been called, exactly as the map above indicates.
West Virginia has been declared for Trump, as the map indicates. early indicators have Florida and NC leaning towards Clinton, but, it’s early.
The most recent spate of called states are in ….. nothing changes in the map above. The blue states on the NE coast are still blue, Miss., Ok, Tn, have been called for Trump. CNN has it 68-48 Clinton, while Fox has 68-67 / Clinton, because they’ve called some states for Trump before CNN has.
I’m about to call Florida for Clinton …..
I take that back!!!!! It’s a dead heat, now, in Florida, with 87% of the votes tallied!!!! 48.5% to 48.5%!!!!
Megan Kelly is actively campaigning against Trump ……. but, I now think Trump will get Florida!
Another spate of called states …… no surprises so far ….. CNN has 128-97 for Trump, Fox has 139-97 for Trump.
Fox is calling New Mexico …… this changes the map ………
But, this is no surprise.
Ohio goes to Trump!!!!!! That’s the first step of the Trump hurdle!!!!
Fox is calling Virginia for Clinton but, I’ll hold off for the moment.
Virginia is for Clinton and North Carolina is Trump’s!!!! Map and electoral vote changes!!!!
In other news, Repub Ron Johnson is being called the winner in the Wisconsin Repub senate race ….. ….. oh, oh!!!! Here’s the new map!!! They are calling Colorado for Clinton ……..
Step three!!!!!! Trump takes Florida!!!! ….. and Utah as I was trying to post!!!!
He’s 38 electoral votes away!!!
Wisconsin!!!!! Here’s the new map!!!!
Georgia is called for Trump!!!!! New map!!!!! New tally!!!!
If he takes Arizona, as I expect him to, then, he’ll have 269 …. which would prevent Hillary from getting 270, Game over.
Over the top!!!!!!!! Penn has been called by many organizations!!!! Fox, nor CNN has called Penn, but, if you you look at the numbers, it’s over.Trump wins!
Test…my last post didn’t seem to go through.
Odd, don’t know what happened. I’d written a long-ish post about looking at counties, their population, their %vote in, and the way they’d voted so far…didn’t show up. Broward was the one to watch in FL, but my estimate had Trump winning FL by ~10-20k from the rough calcs I was doing.
-Scott
Scott, I’ll look for it…. but, thanks for the effort!
Really looks like Trump has it in FL. Broward is up to 98% reporting with only a small change in total votes…must have been low-total areas at the end. Plus, Trump won 3 counties that Obama won last time that are 100% reported and is leading another that Obama had at 97% reporting. No flip-flops the other way. Trump may actually end up winning by way more than my extrapolations…maybe even 100k.
-Scott
I fully expect Trump to take Florida …… I just haven’t seen enough to call it . I think that’s intentional by the networks. …… your comment wasn’t found. Fox is calling Virginia for Clinton, but, CNN has not. It’s about the same as Florida. I expect Clinton to win Virginia.
If Clinton didn’t get VA she’d be hurting badly. Would have been interesting to see how that vote would have gone without Kaine on her ticket.
Too bad that my state went Clinton. Signs notwithstanding, I can’t say I’m too surprised.
-Scott
Glancing through the NC counties, which I previously wasn’t familiar with, I don’t see how Trump won’t win NC. The blue counties are all nearly 100% reported and Trump’s lead is too great there. Of the 3 counties with no reports in yet, 2 are solidly red and the other is split evenly (went blue last time, I expect it has a good chance of being red this time).
-Scott
Yep, called for Trump shortly after this comment. And now FL. The NC/FL combo you said was required and he has it…and not even that close.
By my quick count Trump will have to win at least one of PA/WI/MI. Is there any chance of that?
-Scott
As a side note, FL victory has correctly predicted every election AFTER the JFK/Nixon one except for 1992, where Bush Sr beat (Bill) Clinton by ~100k votes.
-Scott
I’m going to assume with OH being called red that it actually is…
Obama beat Romney there by 100k. Trump is up by 500k with maybe 1M left to count…probably a decisive win.
-Scott
Looks like the Repubs are going to remain in control of the House, so all hell isn’t going to break loose after all (not that we expected a loss here).
-Scott
I assume you know about the Canadian immigration site crashing. At first I thought it was a rumor, but it looks confirmed by everyone, haha!
-Scott
Dear Lord James,
Trump is projected to win WI now. I actually think he’s going to be president, unbelievable. Still have to land several other key states, but with the strong victories in FL/NC/OH and now an apparent win in WI, you have to think those other states are going to fall in line too. Team Clinton is basically no communication right now.
As I’ve said before, I don’t really care for Trump but certainly like many things that he represents. It will be interesting to see how the country changes if he’s POTUS.
-Scott
Scott, I’m reading your comments, …… yeh, I think we’re done here. Hillary has to run the table now!!!!
Given the number of Trump supporters at your site, I expected this place to be covered even if he was doing poorly…don’t know why it’s so quiet. I’m waiting for one of the deciding EC’s to fall before going to bed.
-Scott
Yeh, I’m a little befuddled, too …. I assume they’re too enthralled with the way things are turning out. I’m waiting, also. I think Trump has this, but, I’m not certain.
Right, NV going to Clinton shows that some of the other states don’t extrapolate. The way the people who are involved are acting says it’s pretty much over, but I’m waiting to see PA, AZ+NH, or MI fall first. Wait, did I just say MI?!??!!?!?!?
-Scott
BTW, my views are going through the roof! They’re just not commenting.
It’s tPhDS!
🙂
It’s hard to speak when dodging a bullet.
Heh!!!!
He is at 264 here PA went to Trump!
If PA went then it’s over. My county-by-county analysis says PA is almost certainly Trump, and MI likely is too. Just one of those and Trump has it, so I will go to bed.
Congrats to you Trump fans!
-Scott
Yes, it’s time to go to bed. Tomorrow will be another day. While I wish a reconciliation for the American people, this movement must not stop!!!!
It’s over Trump got 276 now! Giddy Up! Get used to saying President Trump! Awesome!
By the way, the results I got here was from CTV here in canada when all the US LSM networks didn’t want to call it. Apparently I hear that CNN still wasn’t calling it even after Trump delivered his victory speech! And here CBC didn’t want to call it until three major networks called it but finally did after hearing that Crooked Hillary called Trump and conceeded and was about to take the stage! I guess CTV here is a little more honest but not by much!
Gary doesn’t like the LSM very much, does he? I don’t blame him! 😆
….conservatives don’t poll
😉
I heard that in 2008 and 2012 too. I think the analysts got that typical voting Repubs figured out by then. But something this year is different. Apparenty there’s some truth to the silent majority stuff.
-Scott
Hell Scott…they are not about to tell some stranger over the phone….and then get their house blown up
LIberals are f’in dangerous
Amen to that!
-Scott
There is a god.
…a fair and just one
POTUS. Senate. House. Well done, America. Even if it turns out not for who you put in charge, it will always be for who you didn’t.
And you would think that After all the MSM told us to worship Hillary that it would have worked. This is the end of the Marxist journalist caste.
People need to remember that it isn’t so much that people don’t know; but that so much that the do know just isn’t so. Models are not the same thing as an actual event. The closer models do conform to reality, the better they do when tested against reality.
[It’s deja-vu all over again. 1980 redux, but not exactly.]
I suspect that the USC poll did better than the usual outlets is the result of two things: 1. getting a sufficiently representative longitudinal sample (the one that didn’t change) and 2. crosschecking it with sufficiently representative samples that did change iteratively, keeping their model more conforming to the actual event.
Oops, I left out one more observation. The USC poll thus was more like a weather model that gets checked against real world data to keep it in check, versus a poorly specified and implemented ‘climate’ model that not only has nothing to keep it in check, its premises are mostly false contingently.
Exactly, It appears the polls were designed to fit the LSM narrative, so when they didn’t they changed the polls to fit their ideas, same as Cli-Si-fy Models the raw data doesn’t fit so they adjust it to fit their ideas!
I’m dog tired, today. But, will try to have a post up tonight!
Monumental…isn’t it? 😀
Yes!
Well, I had to check out CNN this morning to see the look on their faces! 😆 It was too funny, they are still bashing President-elect Trump, I even saw them run an anti-Trump ad, LMAO! They just can’t help themselves! Priceless! Bwaaaaahahahaha!
Lena Dunham shouldn’t have promised to move to Canada after a Trump win. That was just too much of an incentive for US voters.
http://www.breitbart.com/big-hollywood/2016/11/08/celebrities-leaving-u-s-trump-wins/
Also, my condolences, Canucks.
Well if their precious hearts were torn because Donald said he build a wall and deport the illegals, then them precious hearts should look South not North!
we are on the same page again!
Ya know, because they love the people south of the border so much! And guess what since they hate Pres-elect Trump so much and he is building a wall, it would be a win win, because there will be a wall between them and Donald for their safe space and they would be where they are loved! Bwaaaaahahaha!
odd…they never pick a muslim or third world country to move to
yet we’re supposed to welcome the “diversity” with open arms
Funny how that works is’t it!
Canada has already said they would not accept her. Not with her record.
Dirk………..LOL
Scripted before it was to be! Priceless!
https://s.yimg.com/ny/api/res/1.2/gfV9kiML9KHfHraCKcJHLA–/YXBwaWQ9aGlnaGxhbmRlcjtzbT0xO3c9MTI4MDtoPTk2MA–/http://media.zenfs.com/en/homerun/feed_manager_auto_publish_494/4a69079391b511dd28053a6724c176f7
LMAO! Giddy Up!
..I know there’s more I’m trying to find them! LOL
LOL!!!!
All too familiar…
For giggles, here’s the EC map for that year:
-Scott
Note if you visit youtube to view this vid, notice it was published there on the 7th Nov 2016!