Bold Suyts Primary Prediction!!!!!!

image

I actually had in mind to write about a different topic.  But, I’ve been fighting with my PC, so time is an issue.  I notice the amount of comments in my last post are getting lengthy, so I thought I’d give us another to comment on.  I’m hopeful I’ll have time to engage a bit more in the near future.  I picked this topic because it would be the easiest to write about.

So, Wisconsin is having their primaries tomorrow.  While most of the recent polls have Cruz up pretty big in Wisconsin, the latest one has Trump up big. 

From RCP …..

image

So, what to believe?

Well, here’s what I know.  Trump had a horrible week last week.  It started with a new video and charges filed against his campaign manager.  Upon reviewing the video, yes, dude did grab the female reporter and move her.  That said, it’s pretty petty, from what I can see to file charges. 

Trump also had an amazing bit of babbling stupidity when discussing abortion.  He went from seemingly advocating punishment of the women who do have abortions (which no pro-life movement I know of advocates) to then stating the medical professionals should be punished if it were against the law, to stating that the current abortion laws are in place, and advocates leaving them as they are.  It’s sort of like he’s not really against abortion, but, more for punishing people. 

Later in the week he decided to demonstrate his foreign policy acumen, or lack thereof.  He floated the idea South Korea and Japan should probably weaponize with nuclear weapons.  Well, why not?  Right?  North Korea and China both have them, why not more?  This is actually a legitimate discussion to have, but, not in the convoluted manner Trump presented in. 

The US must decide if they want to continue to provide military support for other nations and regions in the world.  But, we have to understand what is likely to occur if we withdraw from the many regions we are in.  In the case of South Korea, a war would most certainly break out between the North and South.  The distrust between Japan and China is as strong as its ever been and a much more antagonistic relationship would then develop.  China is aggressively expanding their military presence in the Pacific.  Many Americans would say “who cares?”  —– it’s not an illegitimate thought.  Why should we care if a small peninsula of the same people becomes one nation?  Worse case scenario is that we have to start making our own tennis-shoes in the US again.  And, what of Japan?  Is their existence as a free state beneficial to the US?  The Philippines?  Taiwan?  But, if we allow these nations to come under the influence of a nominally Communist China, our stature among the nations will surely significantly diminish.  Many will say, again, “who cares?”  Well, then, you lose your influence.  We would lose our ability to shape things and events to the advantage of the US.  And, then, too, there is the humanitarian consideration.  Make no mistake, should the US withdraw our military support of various nations, their lives would forever be changed, and for the worse. 

Powerful nations don’t do the empire building they once did, it’s passe.  Well, at least not like they used to.  They don’t have colonies, they have influence and puppet regimes. 

In my own writings, I’ve advocated the dissolution of NATO.  I still call for it, today.  NATO is an old entity built to stop communist aggression in Europe.  It’s mission, it’s original mission is no longer necessary.  But, for now, it wouldn’t be prudent to dissolve NATO.  We have to wait and see what the various nations will do in regards to the EU.  Europe as one, has enough resources to provide for their own defense against an aggressive powerful nation, such as Russia.  However, were the EU dissolve, then, before we withdraw from, or dissolve NATO, some common defense pact and ability to substantially react to a threat must be in place before that happens.  I am a bit of an isolationist, but, the reality is we must not have a ‘rest of the world’ which is antagonistic to the interests of the US.   In other words, yes, withdraw, but, ensure something is up and functioning to fill the vacuum, else, something much worse will surely fill the vacuum.  I don’t believe arming every little nation with nuclear weapons is a very good idea.  In fact, its an incredibly stupid idea, which, would have ruined any politician’s career, except for Trump.  The reason why is simple and easy. 

The only thing we know for sure about the future is that things change.  Things always change.  We don’t know how their going to change, but, we know they will change.  Sure, I would trust Japan with a nuclear weapon, as they are right now.  But, we absolutely do know that Japan will not be the same as they are right now.  The same for South Korea.  And, if we should arm South Korea, why not Greece, or Italy, or Spain? —- For those who don’t know, Greece is about to become a property of Turkey if something doesn’t change quickly.  Maybe we should give some nukes to Albania?  Or, perhaps a better example would be Yugoslavia.  Things change, they always do. 

So, here’s my bold Suyts prediction.  The latest poll which has Trump up by 10 is a one-off.  After the week he had, even most Trump supporters must be having second thoughts if they were aware of any of this.  Trump almost always polls better than the actual results, whereas Cruz almost always does better than what the polls indicated.  I think Cruz takes Wisconsin with near or more than 50% of the Republican vote

We’ll see!

Oh, I would have had a different post, but, I just now got my internets back on!  On this PC, I use an old USB Netgear wireless NIC.  It was a bi*ch to get it to work on Win 10.  It was new when Win Vista came out.  Well, Netgear finally came out with an update which “fixed” some of their Win 10 issues.  So, I let it automatically install.  It promptly killed my network connection.  I tried to run it in “compatibility mode”, but, to no avail.  I rolled back the driver, no avail.  I tried to connect using different settings, but, the damned thing wouldn’t even see my router.  So, I had to do a system restore …….. I won, but, it ate up a lot of my time. 

Advertisements
This entry was posted in News and politics. Bookmark the permalink.

46 Responses to Bold Suyts Primary Prediction!!!!!!

  1. Latitude says:

    no more than Hillary, Bernie, or Cruz supporters….
    This has been national campaign gaff week…..LOL

    This election is going to be a mess….
    Hillary supporters can’t stand Bernie…
    …Bernie supporters can’t stand Hillary
    Cruz supporters can’t stand Trump…
    …and Trump supporters can’t stand Cruz

    At least it’s going to be easy to count the votes….

    • suyts says:

      Hmmm, unaware of gaffes of the other candidates on par with Trump’s.

      But, yes, it’s a mess already. If the Dims were smart enough to realize it, they are being dictated as to who is going to be their nominee. Were it not for the super delegates, it would be a fascinating horse-race. I’m very curious as to how the Sanders people will react when they realize he’s not allowed to win. Establishment Repubs are beside themselves. They want Kasich, but, they know he has no chance. They’re leaning towards Cruz, but, they hate Cruz. Unfortunately, you’re right about the Cruz/Trump supporters. I don’t see any reconciliation possible.

      This election will probably be the most vehement lowest turnout election in the history of the US. I don’t see the Sanders people suddenly moving to Hillary after she wins, but, they are Dims, so the inclination is there. If Trump loses, I think half of his supporters will just stay home. I think if Trump wins, more than half of the Cruz supporters and more than half of the establishment will just stay home. ……. Me, I’m beside myself. If there’s a 3rd party to come out of this mess, it would be a Trump sort of 3rd party, not a conservative party as I want. …. sigh.

      • Latitude says:

        you’re falling behind…LOL
        Hillary has the whole pro-abortion people up in arms and mad as hell at her….
        …something about unborn people not having rights….then she back tracked and dug ir even deeper…I forget exactly
        Bern did something equally as stupid…can’t remember right now

        ..I’m falling behind!…and getting totally over it all

        Keep in mind..it there wasn’t a Trump….Cruz would have been long gone by now
        They need Cruz as the foil to Trump..and that’s the only reason they are keeping him around

      • suyts says:

        Well, yeh, I do fall behind on the Dims. It doesn’t matter what Hillary does or says. She’s going to be nominated. It doesn’t matter what the rank and file Dims say, the establishment Dims have nominated Hillary, the rest is just formality.

        I view the Trump/Cruz dynamic in the opposite manner. Recall, before Trump, Cruz was the anti-establishment demon. He still has a running feud with McConnell ….. the establishment Repubs actually hate Cruz more than they do Trump. Were it not for Trump, Cruz would have garnered much of the Trump supporters because of the anti-establishment sentiment. …… Fast-forward to today …… now Cruz is deemed some sort of compromise in many circles. Cruz hasn’t changed his views or positions. He advocates as he has voted in the Senate. It’s bizarre. I understand the populace who support Trump. I don’t understand his advocates who were supposedly conservative. Ann Coulter, Sarah Palin, ….. Breitbart, well, I understand Breitbart, but, Ann and Sarah had good gigs being “conservative”. They’ve hitched their wagons to a non-conservative. They’re both done. Even if Trump wins, they can’t, they can only lose. Breitbart has lost, as well, but, that’s the way they were going to go, anyway, without the guidance of any real conservative to begin with. Lately, they seem to want to fully embrace faggotry. Well, if I want that, I can read “Reason” and get the same crap, except, a bit more refined in their discussions.

  2. leftinflagstaff says:

    ‘We would lose our ability to shape things and events to the advantage of the US.

    There’s a balance. The loss of influence will also increase if we continue to refuse to do what’s necessary to get ourselves in shape. Yes, things always change. We’re one of those things.

    • suyts says:

      True, Leftin, if we continue down the road we’re on, we will continue to diminish, anyway. That was the point of that part of the post. We all understand we need to change. But, change, for the sake of change has never been good. It’s almost always fantastically bad. Change is necessary, but, a focused and planned change is necessary. Else we get the hopey/changey things like the debacle Zero brought us. We have to know what we’re trying to change and the results of the change we can expect. We have to know what to expect if we leave South Korea. We have to know the implications. That’s the only way we can make reasonable judgements.

      • leftinflagstaff says:

        Yes, It will require hard choices. But the chaos of this world will provide us unending distractions from our own problems forever, if we let it. That chaos will never disappear. We easily can.

      • suyts says:

        100% agree. I think, though, that we’re capable of pursuing our interests internationally, all the while fixing our problems at home. That is to say, to ensure international events and the contrivances of foreign despots don’t interfere with our domestic endeavors.

        If we withdraw to our national borders, then, the only place for our enemies to go is here. They will eventually gain all else.

        But, these are exactly the things which need to be in forefront before the American people decide on such things. We have to have a discussion, first! We have to reasonably discern the consequences of our actions or inaction.

  3. Latitude says:

    in the mean time..
    The president just said that refusing to rent to criminals is racist…because blacks commit more crimes…..we have black tenants…and they are constantly telling us to please be careful who we rent to…because they don’t want to live with them either!

    “The Obama administration released a warning Monday telling the nation’s landlords that it may be discriminatory for them to refuse to rent to those with criminal records.

    The Fair Housing Act doesn’t include criminals as a protected class, but the Department of Housing and Urban Development (HUD) says refusing to rent based on a criminal record is a form of racial discrimination, due to racial imbalances in the U.S. justice system.”

    http://dailycaller.com/2016/04/04/obama-admin-tells-landlords-they-cant-refuse-to-house-criminals/

  4. gator69 says:

    Apparently Sanders regular bus “Puff the Magic Wagon” was in for repairs, and this rental that doesn’t run on unicorn farts, left his campaign stranded and baffled…

  5. DirkH says:

    “In my own writings, I’ve advocated the dissolution of NATO. I still call for it, today. NATO is an old entity built to stop communist aggression in Europe. It’s mission, it’s original mission is no longer necessary. But, for now, it wouldn’t be prudent to dissolve NATO. We have to wait and see what the various nations will do in regards to the EU. ”

    Here in Europe, we are totally in the dark who’s pulling what strings of which politicians. Why do the Swedes do what they’re doing? Why is Merkel doing what she’s doing? Is this just their Ordo Ab Chao thing to forge the EU Soviet Union and destroy the nations? Does the CIA pull the strings? The KGB? Is the purpose to motivate us to destroy our governments? Push is coming to shove quickly. So what with NATO?

    See, if Putin wanted to destroy Berlin or Paris, that’s all in range of the P-800 Oniks from Königsberg in Russian East Prussia, and that thing is a supersonic cruise missile and a missile defense probably won’t catch it, it flies low.
    Every time an Iskander mobile rocket launcher is sighted anywhere in Ukraine or Syria the press goes Uh and Ah but nobody talks about the Oniks, it’s a comedy. BTW it’s nuclear capable of course.

    Which begs the question, can Germany vaporize such a thing with lasers. The grapevine says we have a system that concentrates Lasers from different sources to one target and it is, say these sources, the best such system. Or maybe neutralize it with an EMP bomb. Don’t know if we have those (US and Russia do; the Russian ones are as small as a lightbulb).

    EVERYTHING proceeds hidden under tons of desinformation. All that can be said with confidence is we enter the biggest confidence crisis of the last 70 years – and a loss of confidence in the CURRENCY means HYPERINFLATION. (Not the absolute sum of money is the trigger – it is loss of confidence into the currency.)

    The Muslim invasion is of course one of the weapons in this war. So, who is Merkel working for NOW.

    I don’t think NATO will make a difference one way or the other; as to Ramstein, that’s probably just a Heroin and Drone dispatcher (and Drones, they are for fighting people armed with sticks).

    • DirkH says:

      …and, can Merkel or the other goons in the German government even still make decisions or has the security apparatus taken over… at a certain point they won’t let these madmen continue.

    • suyts says:

      Dirk, for those of us who watch, we’re completely in the dark, as well. I can’t possibly fathom as to why the Swedes are doing what they’re doing, or Merkel, for that matter. None of it makes any sense. And, I can’t imagine what the CIA or the KGB would want to accomplish by Islamisizing Europe.

      But, what seems apparent to me, is that the only way for the individual states of Europe are to survive is to withdraw from the EU. But, they must have a common defense pact, else they’ll all cease to exist as we know them.

      But, you’re right, NATO won’t make any difference one way or another until most of Europe starts doing sane things.

  6. DirkH says:

    While Hillary mostly successfully weasels around calling a fetus what it is, she failed here:
    “CLINTON: Well, under our laws currently, that is not something that exists. The unborn person doesn’t have constitutional rights.”

    THE UNBORN PERSON. So she knows it’s a person; it’s a person WITHOUT RIGHTS, so that person can be killed.
    http://www.breitbart.com/video/2016/04/03/hillary-clinton-unborn-person-doesnt-constitutional-rights/

    I want to reiterate. Hillary Clinton thinks that certain persons have no rights and can be killed.
    I do not think she REALLY sees birth as the criterion; she’s a Clinton. But that’s what she said.

    • cdquarles says:

      Heh. Minors are not full persons legally, either, Oops, I shouldn’t give them ideas. Likewise with slaves and the disabled, they’re not full persons legally, either. So, when I say that the pro-aborts share premises with the pro-slavers, …. ;P.

    • I want to discriminate by kindly refusing to design a pro-gay website. They want to discriminate by killing their child. I’m the bad guy.

  7. DirkH says:

    Paypal cancels expansion in NC because of law that prohibits men from using women’s bathroom – but, Paypal (founded by gay Thiel) is fine doing business in places like Somalia were homosexuals get killed.
    http://www.breitbart.com/big-government/2016/04/06/paypal-to-cancel-expansion-n-c-stays-in-countries-that-execute-gays/
    Similar behaviour at Apple.

  8. DirkH says:

    Dutch give a solid 64% “Oxi” to the pro EU government for plans of making an association treaty with Porky’s Ukraine. The “No” is meant to be a rejection of further EU power grabs.
    EU journalists are currently frantically rewriting their drivel, they plan to say “too low turnout to count”. Articles disappear and reappear so I give no link for now.

    • suyts says:

      Heh, yeh, I think the EU has enough problems on their hands without trying to invite more. I think Britain is going to leave the EU, and I think after that others will, as well. I still can’t understand why other states haven’t left, already.

      • Latitude says:

        I’ve never understood how the EU was supposed to work at all….
        It’s like let’s get a bunch of countries together….that don’t even like each other….and make them states…like the US

        • And then double down…import millions more who don’t like you.

        • leftinflagstaff says:

          Devastation of two world wars. Countless regional wars throughout their long history. Gotta try legislated warm and fuzziness, I guess. Guess they forgot about the other kind of war– civil war.

      • suyts says:

        I’ve never understood, either. I’ve just always known it was evil.

        • Latitude says:

          …and by making them states….do away with almost all of their rights as countries

          …..makes no sense at all

    • Lars P. says:

      It seems the “too low” idea will not work, 32% is enough to count.
      One particular painful point is that the Dutch (Holland) was a founding member of the initial EU (“the inner six”) when all started based on the coal and steel cooperation:
      https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/European_Coal_and_Steel_Community

      To my mind shows how far is the EU now from the original thought. The idea was a friendly cooperation between sovereign nations.

      What Europe got now is a bunch of unelected bureaucrats who build their own deep state far from the citizens who have no means to address the politics. The EU parliament is a sore joke defining the curvature of the cucumbers that may be sold, the power of the vacuum cleaners or the type of lightbulbs – useless regulations that create only problems, but not for the regulators.
      About the referendum, they’ll find a way to go around it…

      • DirkH says:

        Lars, the idea of the EU is described best in Praktischer Idealismus by Coudenhouve-Kalergi, the Warburg-funded founder of the Pan-Europe-Movement. The goal is merging the nations into a technocratic aristocracy of the “Wise Men”, i.e. not a democracy but a caste society. Kalergi was a freemason, he dreamed of the EU being populated by a “Eurasian-Negroid Mixed Race, visually similar to the Old Egyptians.”

        The book is in the internet. It cannot be bought in Germany. People who tried to re-publish it got raided by police.

        • DirkH says:

          Kalergi was the first recipient of the proto-EU’s Karlspreis and had the idea of using the Ode To Joy as EU hymn.

          The EU was officially declared in 1994. In 1999 the nations lost their currency, in 2006 censorship was introduced. Since 1994 they are trying to fast-track the creation of their technocratic Reich.

        • Lars P. says:

          Well, I was thinking at what ordinary people thought when thinking at the EU.

          Interesting to see the greens not wanting direct democracy – no national vote for EU themes. Say what?
          http://www.krone.at/Welt/EU-Gruene_fordern_Verbot_von_Volksabstimmungen!-Zu_Europa-Themen-Story-504556
          “Die Fraktionschefin der Grünen im EU- Parlament, Rebecca Harms, will nationale Abstimmungen über EU- Themen verbieten.”

        • DirkH says:

          Well I was refering to your
          “To my mind shows how far is the EU now from the original thought. The idea was a friendly cooperation between sovereign nations.”

          That was NOT THE IDEA! The original idea was and is the destruction of the nations AND THE PEOPLES! It is just their propaganda lie , spread to this day by the Pan-European politicians, that the goal is peace between souvereign nations populated by the original Europeans. Now, it took us a while to find the original source. But we can say now that given the original source material, and given the mass Arab/African importation, the EU has NEVER BEEN CLOSER to its original design goal.

          They have covered up their tracks and deny the origin of their movement and try to hide the source material.

          Kalergi was a fanatic for race-mixing, seeing mixed-race people as superior. He had no interest in preserving the white Europeans. His idea of a uniform brown race will fail, though, as he had no knwoledge of genetics. Just as he had no knowledge of the necessary demise of centrally planned systems – which he demands.

  9. DirkH says:

    Several examples of European leftist pro-Islamisation campaigners who felt guilty when their Muslim attackers got punished. More evidence for the hypothesis that Leftism is a disease of the brain.
    http://www.breitbart.com/london/2016/04/07/after-anal-rape-leftist-felt-despair-that-his-somalian-attacker-was-deported/

    • Latitude says:

      …and they cover it up so the same poor little immigrants can prey on the rest of us

    • Lars P. says:

      Full leftard.
      Must be an interesting case for a psychiatrist: saying “he is not responsible for his actions”. he said he was merely “a product of an unjust world.
      Like the other case linked over there:
      http://www.breitbart.com/london/2015/10/06/no-borders-activist-gang-raped-migrants-pressured-silence-not-damage-cause/
      That woman like this idiot, does not understand that her cover-up is creating more of the same perpetrators, or maybe simply do not care due to her higher and ‘more important’ ideals. Or maybe through some perverted logic they think the future victims deserve it for being born where they have been born and the perpetrators are excused, for being born where they have been born….

      She is through her cover-up an accomplice in further rapes of the same group.

      • Imagine what these people will do to any children they may have.

        • DirkH says:

          Well, sort of. Neighbouring with a connecting door.

          Random find: Stefan Molyneux gets everything right about Islamisation of Germany here. I don’t always agree with him but he really hits the nail on the head here.

  10. Lars P. says:

    Rofl:

Leave a Reply

Fill in your details below or click an icon to log in:

WordPress.com Logo

You are commenting using your WordPress.com account. Log Out / Change )

Twitter picture

You are commenting using your Twitter account. Log Out / Change )

Facebook photo

You are commenting using your Facebook account. Log Out / Change )

Google+ photo

You are commenting using your Google+ account. Log Out / Change )

Connecting to %s