I actually had in mind to write about a different topic. But, I’ve been fighting with my PC, so time is an issue. I notice the amount of comments in my last post are getting lengthy, so I thought I’d give us another to comment on. I’m hopeful I’ll have time to engage a bit more in the near future. I picked this topic because it would be the easiest to write about.
So, Wisconsin is having their primaries tomorrow. While most of the recent polls have Cruz up pretty big in Wisconsin, the latest one has Trump up big.
From RCP …..
So, what to believe?
Well, here’s what I know. Trump had a horrible week last week. It started with a new video and charges filed against his campaign manager. Upon reviewing the video, yes, dude did grab the female reporter and move her. That said, it’s pretty petty, from what I can see to file charges.
Trump also had an amazing bit of babbling stupidity when discussing abortion. He went from seemingly advocating punishment of the women who do have abortions (which no pro-life movement I know of advocates) to then stating the medical professionals should be punished if it were against the law, to stating that the current abortion laws are in place, and advocates leaving them as they are. It’s sort of like he’s not really against abortion, but, more for punishing people.
Later in the week he decided to demonstrate his foreign policy acumen, or lack thereof. He floated the idea South Korea and Japan should probably weaponize with nuclear weapons. Well, why not? Right? North Korea and China both have them, why not more? This is actually a legitimate discussion to have, but, not in the convoluted manner Trump presented in.
The US must decide if they want to continue to provide military support for other nations and regions in the world. But, we have to understand what is likely to occur if we withdraw from the many regions we are in. In the case of South Korea, a war would most certainly break out between the North and South. The distrust between Japan and China is as strong as its ever been and a much more antagonistic relationship would then develop. China is aggressively expanding their military presence in the Pacific. Many Americans would say “who cares?” —– it’s not an illegitimate thought. Why should we care if a small peninsula of the same people becomes one nation? Worse case scenario is that we have to start making our own tennis-shoes in the US again. And, what of Japan? Is their existence as a free state beneficial to the US? The Philippines? Taiwan? But, if we allow these nations to come under the influence of a nominally Communist China, our stature among the nations will surely significantly diminish. Many will say, again, “who cares?” Well, then, you lose your influence. We would lose our ability to shape things and events to the advantage of the US. And, then, too, there is the humanitarian consideration. Make no mistake, should the US withdraw our military support of various nations, their lives would forever be changed, and for the worse.
Powerful nations don’t do the empire building they once did, it’s passe. Well, at least not like they used to. They don’t have colonies, they have influence and puppet regimes.
In my own writings, I’ve advocated the dissolution of NATO. I still call for it, today. NATO is an old entity built to stop communist aggression in Europe. It’s mission, it’s original mission is no longer necessary. But, for now, it wouldn’t be prudent to dissolve NATO. We have to wait and see what the various nations will do in regards to the EU. Europe as one, has enough resources to provide for their own defense against an aggressive powerful nation, such as Russia. However, were the EU dissolve, then, before we withdraw from, or dissolve NATO, some common defense pact and ability to substantially react to a threat must be in place before that happens. I am a bit of an isolationist, but, the reality is we must not have a ‘rest of the world’ which is antagonistic to the interests of the US. In other words, yes, withdraw, but, ensure something is up and functioning to fill the vacuum, else, something much worse will surely fill the vacuum. I don’t believe arming every little nation with nuclear weapons is a very good idea. In fact, its an incredibly stupid idea, which, would have ruined any politician’s career, except for Trump. The reason why is simple and easy.
The only thing we know for sure about the future is that things change. Things always change. We don’t know how their going to change, but, we know they will change. Sure, I would trust Japan with a nuclear weapon, as they are right now. But, we absolutely do know that Japan will not be the same as they are right now. The same for South Korea. And, if we should arm South Korea, why not Greece, or Italy, or Spain? —- For those who don’t know, Greece is about to become a property of Turkey if something doesn’t change quickly. Maybe we should give some nukes to Albania? Or, perhaps a better example would be Yugoslavia. Things change, they always do.
So, here’s my bold Suyts prediction. The latest poll which has Trump up by 10 is a one-off. After the week he had, even most Trump supporters must be having second thoughts if they were aware of any of this. Trump almost always polls better than the actual results, whereas Cruz almost always does better than what the polls indicated. I think Cruz takes Wisconsin with near or more than 50% of the Republican vote.
Oh, I would have had a different post, but, I just now got my internets back on! On this PC, I use an old USB Netgear wireless NIC. It was a bi*ch to get it to work on Win 10. It was new when Win Vista came out. Well, Netgear finally came out with an update which “fixed” some of their Win 10 issues. So, I let it automatically install. It promptly killed my network connection. I tried to run it in “compatibility mode”, but, to no avail. I rolled back the driver, no avail. I tried to connect using different settings, but, the damned thing wouldn’t even see my router. So, I had to do a system restore …….. I won, but, it ate up a lot of my time.