My First Post And The Destruction Of An Iconic Alarmist Meme!!!!!

Well, we’re on our victory lap, so, of course, we start at the start.  My very first post was to poke a little at a graph which was often employed by the alarmist lunatics throughout the world ……. the dreaded Spring snow cover decline!

While my first post was rough (I was just trying to figure out the posting of graphics and the like) it was the start of the end for the iconic alarmist graph.  I don’t see it much, anymore.  It used to be trotted out on a daily basis from one place or another.  Here’s the latest rendition.

Now, most would know by now the several problems with this graph.  In all humility, I’ve got to say we were probably a large part of the reason why many know to point these things out, now.  When I started posting on the snow cover, there weren’t a lot of skeptic sites doing so. 

The first problem with the graph is the act of deception by arbitrary base of the y-axis.  The actual snow cover runs from a little more than 27 mil sq. km to a little less than 34 mil sq. km.  And, yet, they use 26 million as their base, thus giving the trend line the extreme slope. 

Another huge problem with the graph is the time line.  Rutgers is pretending the numbers on the left were the same type of numbers on the right of the graph.  They most certainly are not.  Read here for the many alterations and inconsistencies between the values represented as the same.  

So, let’s correct some of that mess.  First, we put our base at zero.  When using a trend line, this will give us a more realistic appreciation of the slope.  Secondly, let’s eliminate some of the older values and go back 30 years.  This will give us enough time to see if there is an alarming trend or not, all the while making the values more consistent with each other, although different methodologies were employed even in the 30 year graph. 

I didn’t want to expend too much time and energy on this so I’m only going to graph the average of the monthly values of March through May.  So, it’s not the same/same but, should be reasonably close to tell us if we’ll have snow in the spring or if we should expect it to be all melted over the next decade or so. 

image

Well, I’m just crapping all over myself about the horrid decline in our spring snow cover!  You, too?  Lop off 1986 and 1987 and we’ve a nearly zero trend in our trend line. 

And so it is, and so it was with our dishonest alarmist friends.  The snow cover isn’t decreasing during spring, they’re interpreting the snow cover differently than they were in the past.  I’d call them a bunch of idiots if I didn’t know most were purposefully trying to deceive people. 

Data, graphs and whatnot can be found here, at Rutgers. 

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33 Responses to My First Post And The Destruction Of An Iconic Alarmist Meme!!!!!

  1. Latitude says:

    Global warming posts are more fun!…and not near as depressing!
    Plus the fact that you’re damn good at it too! LOL

  2. The snow cover at Snoqualmie Pass (that’s the main I-90 Cascade pass east of Seattle http://www.wsdot.com/TRAFFIC/passes/snoqualmie/default.aspx) hit a new record a few days ago–193.3″ The previous record was somewhere around 190″ What did the lunatic alarmists say a few years ago? Good-bye snow?

    The Cascades and the Olympics have been out in their snow-covered glory the last couple of days. Seeing our mountains clearly this time of year is rare–especially after all the precipitation/clouds we’ve had for weeks leading up to the New Year.

    Jim

  3. Lars P. says:

    Lol, yeah! Notrickzone has also a post on norther hemisphere ice.
    The warmista tricked and showed a linear, almost exponential decline of ice volume.
    http://notrickszone.com/2016/01/05/large-number-of-climate-scientists-officials-baffled-arctic-sea-ice-still-hasnt-disappeared-and-has-grown-instead/
    As long as the warmist theory is wrong and results based on “continuously adjusted data” it can be only fun to watch it over longer period of time.
    They painted themselves in the corner. The longer the time goes by, the more they need to retroactively adjust.

  4. leftinflagstaff says:

    I could use a little less Winter Snow Cover right now.

  5. leftinflagstaff says:

    I hate you. 😀

    I spent the day shoveling. Looks like I’ll spend the night in the dark. Power out for about 2 hrs now. Neighbor said a pole came down.

  6. Latitude says:

    how do you solve a problem like Maria….

  7. DirkH says:

    I see a giant future for global gayness:
    China has 117 boys for 100 girls;
    Sweden has, through Muslim immigration, 125 to 100.
    No statistics for Germany, as Germany is always a bit shy about numbers especially true ones.
    http://www.politico.eu/article/europes-man-problem/

  8. DirkH says:

    Revolutionaries of the world have united and created a new strategy! Everyone get computer hardware, a twitter account, and make #ResistCapitalism the number 1 twitter trend!
    http://twitchy.com/2016/01/09/thousands-take-to-their-iphones-to-join-resistcapitalism-movement/
    When it’s #1 that means capitalism has been resisted!
    Interesting suggestions:
    “the bourgeois and their racist, sexist capitalism must be purged. cis white males will be the first against the wall #ResistCapitalism”
    I think I’ll say I’m an asexual proletarian. They’ll never find out.

  9. songhees says:

    Latest book and documentary.
    ‘The Deliberate Corruption of Climate Science’.



    http://www.drtimball.com

    Debate between Dr Tim Ball and Elizabeth May
    Scroll down to Ian Jessop part 1
    http://www.cfax1070.com/Podcasts

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