What Socialism Can Do For You!!!! Venezuela!!!!!

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Billboard translation ….. “a better world is possible, if it is socialist”. 

Well, I really can’t add much to what Zerohedge had to say …..

Venezuela Solves Toilet Paper Shortage As Inflation Surpasses 100%

There are no longer words to summarize the utter devastation taking place in Venezuela’s ‘socialist paradise’ economy, but one can try. 

Unfortunately for residents of the Latin American country, what had been predicted on these pages for the past several years is finally coming to pass, as is Venezuela’s official currency: the bolivar fell 25 percent on the black market last week to 423 per dollar. As the unofficial Venezuela currency has weakened 80% in street markets in the past year, it is now worth about 66 times less than the primary official rate of 6.3 bolivars per dollar.

According to Bloomberg, the bolivar’s dwindling value leaves many Venezuelans stuffing their pockets with wads of cash, since stacks of bills are often required for a routine trip to a restaurant or supermarket.

Asdrubal Oliveros, director of the Caracas-based consultancy Econanalitica, put it rather succinctly:  “You want to buy a car? There aren’t any. You want to buy an apartment? You can’t afford one. Basic products aren’t available,” he said. “The only refuge that people have is buying dollars, and because of that, the demand doesn’t stop.”

Since unlike the “developed” world where the debt slaves are misled to believe they too can experience the “wealth effect” by dumping their disposable income in the stock market, people here are buying dollars because of a scarcity of hard goods that could serve as a store of value, according to Oliveros.

And what hard goods can be found can no longer be afforded by anyone.

In fact, Venezuela is gripped in the worst case of hyperinflation currently on earth. According to Bank of America “April inflation reached 100.7% year-on-year and that monthly inflation averaged 8.5% in the first four months of the year.” And that is what total economic collapse looks like.

From BofA:

Venezuela’s central bank has not published the Consumer Price Index series since December 2014. Given the rate of observed money creation, the instability in the parallel market and the large local currency financing needs, there are reasons to be concerned that prices could be accelerating very rapidly.

In Caracas, not even quadruple seasonally-adjusted prices can either soothe these concerns, or fool any more of the people, any of the time.

Our estimate indicates that inflation accelerated in year-on-year terms and reached 100.7% in April (Table 2). Monthly inflation peaked at 12.4% in January yet remains high and came in at 6.6% in the most recent print. The average monthly inflation rate observed during the first four months of the year was 8.5%, which would correspond to an annualized rate of 165.9%.

Chart 1 shows the confidence intervals for our year-on-year inflation rates derived from considering the predictions of the 5th and 95th percentile of our forecast distribution. In the most conservative estimate within this range, inflation reached 88.1% in April and averaged 6.7% monthly (118% annualized). In our least conservative estimate, it reached 110.8% in April and averaged 9.8% monthly (208% annualized). Chart 2 displays the distribution of all of our April estimates and shows that they overwhelmingly point to price acceleration.

The good news, according to BofA, is that hyperinflation is good for you: just ask any Keynesian tenured economist and every central banker who is desperate to recreate the Venezuela case study at a global level. After all that $200 trillion in global debt won’t hyperinflate itself away.

There is overwhelming evidence that the end of hyperinflations is expansionary and tends to bring political benefits to the governments that ultimately stabilize the economy. This raises the incentives for both the current and a potential future administration to implement the price adjustments that, up until now, have been deemed too politically costly by the authorities

Curiously, on the question of what happens to the government that leads the country into hyperinflation and presides while society tears itself apart, Bank of America had nothing to say about that.

It also had nothing to say about how Venezuela just solved its toilet paper shortage.

As for the best one sentence summary of current events in Venezuela, the following may suffice:

Wu-Tang Financial @Wu_Tang_Finance

The Venezuelan Bolivar is worth more functioning as toilet paper than as actual currency #Faded #Drank #Socialism

12:09 PM – 27 May 2015

Like all socialist experiments, it goes poorly for the populace. 

I said I couldn’t add much, but, I will try to expand, just a bit on the this part of the post ……

The good news, according to BofA, is that hyperinflation is good for you: just ask any Keynesian tenured economist and every central banker who is desperate to recreate the Venezuela case study at a global level. After all that $200 trillion in global debt won’t hyperinflate itself away.

There is overwhelming evidence that the end of hyperinflations is expansionary and tends to bring political benefits to the governments that ultimately stabilize the economy. This raises the incentives for both the current and a potential future administration to implement the price adjustments that, up until now, have been deemed too politically costly by the authorities

Curiously, on the question of what happens to the government that leads the country into hyperinflation and presides while society tears itself apart, Bank of America had nothing to say about that.

Yes, from ashes, things spring.  In the meantime, death, disease, and violent turmoil is in store for the people of Venezuela. 

There is no need for poverty in Venezuela.  They’re not like the Mid-East nations which land only has oil.  Venezuela is a resource rich nation.  They have lots of trees for criminey sakes!!!!  There’s no reason on earth as to why they can’t make their own toilet paper! …… That is, except, it is a socialist nation.  Large swaths of their land is very fertile.  There’s no reason on earth why basic products are unavailable!  That is, except, it is a socialist nation.

This is a lesson for all of us. 

Socialists will willingly watch their own countrymen, women, and children die, rather than confront their own delusions. 

 

h/t Dirk and Bruce

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6 Responses to What Socialism Can Do For You!!!! Venezuela!!!!!

  1. leftinflagstaff says:

    No worries, they’ll get that socialism thing right next time.

  2. cdquarles says:

    Argh, internet failure ate my post.

    Anyway, They’ve got it backwards. See: Ludwig von Mises, Theory of Money and Credit, 1912. He has treatises on bureaucracies and socialism that were published a few years after this.

  3. Latitude says:

    They had it made, when all they had to do was sell Ven crude. Esso would tank it to the refinery in Aruba…and off it would go. Our government was also paying them to keep it running…sweet deal. Problem with Ven is that it’s another country that’s only civilized in certain areas, the majority of the country is not something we would even associate with Appalachia or West Virginia. Wars are going on, drug wars are going on, Cuba is involved and it benefits Cuba to keep them back. On the surface we are tricked into thinking they are a civilized country…when the vast majority of the country is below third world.

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