So, the Repub field of presidential candidates is expected to be a mob of about 16. Fox and CNN are already announcing their plans on how they’re going to deal with this mass of people.
Seriously, there should only be about 3 or 4 candidates. However, with the ego of a politician, and the sycophants they have around them, this election has more than a dozen Repub candidates believing they can win the presidency. This is mostly because, odds are, a Repub will win. Which Repub? That’s a different question.
Here’s how you solve this madness. Let them run and spend themselves out of money. Let the polls do the talking. Eventually, the pretend candidates will get the message. That said, this in itself, won’t weed out enough.
Here’s a list of probably candidates ….
Florida governor Jeb Bush, Sen. Marco Rubio of Florida, Wisconsin Gov. Scott Walker, Sen. Rand Paul of Kentucky, Sen. Ted Cruz of Texas, former Arkansas governor Mike Huckabee, retired neurosurgeon Ben Carson, New Jersey Gov. Chris Christie, real estate tycoon Donald Trump and former Texas governor Rick Perry, according to a Washington Post analysis. Former U.S. senator Rick Santorum of Pennsylvania and Ohio Gov. John Kasich are a fraction of a point behind Perry. Lagging behind those 12 are Sen. Lindsey O. Graham of South Carolina, Louisiana Gov. Bobby Jindal, former Hewlett-Packard chief executive Carly Fiorina and former New York governor George Pataki.
Now, some may disagree with me, and they’re welcome to do so, but, here’s a list of “not-a-chance-in-heck” people from the above …. First … Huckabee. Honestly, I like Mike Huck. But, to be base, he shot his wad last time, and failed. He’s not going to get more supporters this time around. The fact is, he’s got problems with education and immigration that he can’t get around. But, this is because he ran last time. Yes, he can change his position, as he did with Common Core, but, it’s a subtraction from what he had last time. Immigration …. the same … it’s a subtraction. He didn’t win, or even come close last time, and he’s already subtracted from his base, so he’s not going to get there this time around.
Secondly, …. Donald Trump? HAHAAHAHAHAHAHAAHAHHAHAHA!!!!! Yeh, but, no. Not only no, but, hell no!!! He could be one of the few Repub candidates who could lose to a Dim.
Rick Santorum …. see why Huckabee won’t make it and then double plus it, and that’s why Rick won’t come close.
I can only believe that McCain has convinced Graham that he’s viable. Look, I’m all about expressing US military might, but, Graham scares the hell out of me …… and that’s his strong suit!!! I don’t believe in Graham could carry even South Carolina against the rest of the field, much less any other state.
The rest would be fairly legit, except for the field. There are some exceptional dynamics with the rest of them.
My feelings are that Cruz, Paul, and Carson appeal to the Repub base. Bush and Rubio appeal to the more moderate Repubs, while Christie appeals to the leftarded NE Repubs. This isn’t to be taken lightly because of the populous in the area he appeals to. The same can be said about Fiorina … except on the left coast. Both are unfortunate because while this can gain them many delegates in the Repub primaries, they won’t carry the states of Cali and NY in the general election.
But, speaking of states …. reversing it, the populous Repub states, Florida and Texas (Repubs have to win both if they’re to win the presidency) we’ve Bush/Rubio in Florida, and Cruz/Perry in Texas. All would probably carry both states in the general election, but, it would be interesting to see who would carry which in the Repub primaries.
The two wild cards are Jindal and Pataki. You can’t underestimate either. Personally, I like Jindal almost as much as I like any of the others. Pataki, well, I think it’s possible for him to actually carry NY in the general election. And, he’s probably beat Christie, in NY, in the Repub primary. Pataki is a contrast to the likes of Cruz and Paul. …… Oh, I haven’t mentioned Paul, yet …..
For the heart of the base, it’s between Paul and Cruz. Will that be enough for either? I don’t know. I believe Cruz would convert more people to be Repubs in the general election, but, I also believe Paul would attract more independents to vote for him. Both are extremely articulate, and able to convey their message in a fantastic manner. They have differences, but, they are few.
Carson ….. I simply don’t believe he’s prepared for what’s coming to him. Nor, do I believe he’s prepared to run this nation. Don’t get me wrong. I like the heck out of Carson, like his message, and his intelligence. I allow that he can show me wrong, but, I’m not wrong.
What some of these people need to do is to get out of the race early, and start working with the viable candidates. Maybe land a spot in the government in which their talents could be best put to use.
FWIW, that’s my opinion. What’s yours?