Well, we had another unremarkable hurricane season. Depending upon how one wishes to look at it, it was average or below average, once again.
I thought I’d look at what the ACE values have done.
Again, ACE isn’t a perfect method to determining the energy of a storm, but, it is one way to determine if storms have stronger more sustained winds.
For those not familiar .. …
Accumulated cyclone energy (ACE) is a measure used by the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) to express the activity of individual tropical cyclones and entire tropical cyclone seasons.
The ACE of a season is calculated by summing the squares of the estimated maximum sustained velocity of every active tropical storm (wind speed 35 knots (65 km/h) or higher), at six-hour intervals.
So, let’s see what it has done the last 30 years ……
While I’m here with the pretty graph I suppose I should explain the “30 year” nonsense. 30 years is an arbitrary time span the lunatics decided was long enough to hold some significance towards a trend in climate circles. There is, of course, no reason to believe 30 years is any better than 20 or 40 years. One would suppose the longer the time period the better, but, that’s pretty problematic for the lunatics and climate data. There isn’t any reliable or like data going back that far.
The reason I sometimes play along with their game is because I get to shove it back up their ………. well, you know. Here’s 30 years of data, so if their premise of 30 years is correct, and if global warming was said to cause more and worse hurricanes, then we can say their notions of global warming is falsified, using their own premise!
As to whether or not this pretty graph holds any real meaning or insight, cdquarles alerts us to a fine read written by William Briggs Statistician to the Stars. It’s well worth the read, and put simply so laypeople can understand what he’s saying.
It’s too lengthy for me to reproduce here, but, it holds some basic information. And, understanding this is necessary to identify the reification of global warming/climate change.