If We Can Hold ……..

Polling Data

Poll	Date	Sample	MoE	Sullivan (R)	Begich (D)	Spread
RCP Average	8/18 – 9/24	—	—	45.7	41.0	Sullivan +4.7
Rasmussen Reports	9/23 – 9/24	750 LV	4.0	48	43	Sullivan +5
PPP (D)	9/18 – 9/21	880 LV	3.3	45	42	Sullivan +3
CBS News/NYT/YouGov	8/18 – 9/2	412 LV	6.0	44	38	Sullivan +6

All Alaska Senate – Sullivan vs. Begich Polling Data

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Polling Data

Poll	Date	Sample	MoE	Cotton (R)	Pryor (D)	Spread
RCP Average	8/28 – 9/25	—	—	45.8	42.2	Cotton +3.6
Rasmussen Reports	9/24 – 9/25	750 LV	4.0	47	40	Cotton +7
USA Today/Suffolk*	9/20 – 9/23	500 LV	4.4	43	45	Pryor +2
PPP (D)	9/18 – 9/21	1453 LV	2.6	45	39	Cotton +6
NBC News/Marist*	9/2 – 9/4	639 LV	3.9	45	40	Cotton +5
CNN/Opinion Research	8/28 – 9/2	523 LV	4.5	49	47	Cotton +2

All Arkansas Senate – Cotton vs. Pryor Polling Data

 

Polling Data

Poll	Date	Sample	MoE	Gardner (R)	Udall (D)	Spread
RCP Average	9/3 – 9/16	—	—	43.8	43.0	Gardner +0.8
USA Today/Suffolk*	9/13 – 9/16	500 LV	4.4	43	42	Gardner +1
Quinnipiac*	9/10 – 9/15	1211 LV	2.8	48	40	Gardner +8
Denver Post/SurveyUSA*	9/8 – 9/10	664 LV	3.9	42	46	Udall +4
Rasmussen Reports	9/3 – 9/4	800 LV	4.0	42	44	Udall +2

All Colorado Senate – Gardner vs. Udall Polling Data

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Louisiana Senate Open Primary (Nov. 4)

Poll	Date	Sample	MoE	Cassidy (R)	Landrieu (D)	Maness (R)	Spread
RCP Average	8/18 – 9/16	—	—	36.5	33.5	8.5	Cassidy +3.0
FOX News	9/14 – 9/16	617 LV	4.0	35	31	7	Cassidy +4
CBS News/NYT/YouGov	8/18 – 9/2	870 LV	5.0	38	36	10	Cassidy +2

Candidate needs to receive 50% of the vote to avoid a runoff.

More Polling Data | News

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Polling Data

Poll	Date	Sample	MoE	Daines (R)	Curtis (D)	Spread
RCP Average	8/18 – 9/2	—	—	54.0	35.0	Daines +19.0
CBS News/NYT/YouGov	8/18 – 9/2	684 LV	5.0	53	35	Daines +18
Rasmussen Reports	8/18 – 8/19	750 LV	4.0	55	35	Daines +20

All Montana Senate – Daines vs. Curtis Polling Data

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Polling Data

Poll	Date	Sample	MoE	Rounds (R)	Weiland (D)	Pressler (I)	Spread
RCP Average	6/4 – 9/7	—	—	42.0	28.7	16.3	Rounds +13.3
SurveyUSA*	9/3 – 9/7	510 LV	4.4	39	28	25	Rounds +11
CBS News/NYT/YouGov	8/18 – 9/2	526 LV	6.0	43	29	6	Rounds +14
Rasmussen Reports	6/4 – 6/5	750 LV	4.0	44	29	18	Rounds +15

All South Dakota Senate – Rounds vs. Weiland vs. Pressler Polling Data

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Polling Data

Poll	Date	Sample	MoE	Capito (R)	Tennant (D)	Spread
RCP Average	8/15 – 9/2	—	—	53.0	34.0	Capito +19.0
CBS News/NYT/YouGov	8/18 – 9/2	1284 LV	4.0	55	32	Capito +23
The West Virginia Poll	8/15 – 8/23	401 LV	4.9	54	37	Capito +17
Rasmussen Reports	8/19 – 8/20	750 LV	4.0	50	33	Capito +17

All West Virginia Senate – Capito vs. Tennant Polling Data

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Other races have Iowa in a dead heat between Dims and Repubs, In Michigan, the Repub is down by only 2 points in the latest poll.

However, in Georgia, the Repub only has a very slight lead, and as noted earlier, the latest poll in Kansas has the incumbent Repub down by 5 points. 

Look, I know there are many people disappointed with the way some primaries went.  But, we’ve got what we got, and we have to play the hand we’re dealt. 

So far, only Montana and West Virginia seem to be assured Repub, though, I don’t see Repubs losing Louisiana, either.  This means there’s a whole bunch of work to be done.

Data from RCP