Dedicated To Laz and Co

 

I recently wrote a little post,  A Visual Assist —- Arctic Was Warmer In The Thirties!!

You see, The Hockey Schtick found a little jewel hidden in NASA’s web site.  It was a graphic adaption from a Cosimo paper.  The graphics sucked because one could hardly read it, it was so pale.  So, being selfless civic minder person that I am, I decided to darken and contrast it, so everyone could see what the Hockey Schtick was talking about. 

 

 

I made very little commentary.  I mostly reaffirmed what is commonly known by rational people.  Well, no good deed goes unpunished.  A couple of warmist dingbats came by left their slimy ooze on my post.  Apparently, they objected to the title of the post.  Because after 3, 4, 5, ….. well however many revisions of whichever data set (take your pick) has finally erased these arctic temps, Laz and uknow believe the 5th version of the Gospel of James Hansen to be truth, just like they did the 4th, and the 3rd, ……  I’m not sure if they understand that people laugh at their understanding of truth or not. 

For the record, that graph is derived from a paper written by a fellow named COMISO!                                                                             HIS PAPER IS RIGHT HERE—-> (Link to pdf is here.)   <—  HIS PAPER IS RIGHT HERE!!!

Within the paper, you find it has cool things such as references.  While it may be different on warmist blogs, I make the assumption people can and will read for themselves.  I don’t often explicitly state things because again, I assume the average reader here has at least some cognitive abilities.  This assumption has been shown to be, to a very large extent, correct.  That is until tweedle dum and dumber showed up. 

Did I tell you that they objected to the title?  Apparently, because no data set has extended the data set COMISO used to present day, they assume that the arctic can’t be cooler today than in the 30s.  In fact, they seem to insist that it isn’t.

Now, I made it a point in the prior post to criticize splicing and comparing unlike things.  Of course, this is how Hansen, Jones, and the gang now handle their global temps, particularly when referencing arctic temps.   Cosimo warned against such validity, as well.  Still, it is a compelling question.  By looking at the graph above, we can easily see (thanks to be black line I drew) that the 5 year running avg was 1/2 K below the late 1930s.  Now, I suppose it is possible for the arctic to have warmed 1/2 K on average, over the last 11 years. 

Now, I wouldn’t normally do this, but because they insist, for entertainment value alone, we’ll see if the arctic has warmed that much or not over the last 11 years.

Let’s look at satellite data, because I don’t like the constant revisions and homogenizations our thermometers continually go through, including the ones 75 years ago.  So, go here.  This is a link to UAH data. 

Here, I started in Dec 2001 for continuity sake. 

 

This graph is as titled.  This is monthly data from Dec 2001 to present.  I’ve added a trend line (red) and then the 60 month(5yr) moving average, just like the graph from COSIMO.  I’ll lighten the monthly line to clear the noise and then splice the data on just like Mikey would do!     I’ll line up the graph to show the width of 10+years, and align the anomaly axis to match Cosimo’s.  Then I’ll lay them next to each other and anyone can see what’s what.

Okay, well, as I’ve said in the past, I’m not a graphics guy, looks like I missed the zero axis by about 1/10th or 1/20th of a degree.  this isn’t any big deal because even if you add 1/10th to it, we can plainly see that the arctic temps haven’t risen enough to be higher than what it was in the 30s according to Cosimo.  It’s just that simple. 

Now, for the sake of clarity and replicability, it seems I used the data under the “No Pol”.  The trend was ~ 0.03/yr for the 12.5 years.  So, if we did like the warmists do, we’d say that the arctic, after adding the recent arctic temps, is still colder than what it was in the late 1930s. 

But, I’m not a warmist, so we can say that it probably is, but we don’t really know.  And, neither does anyone else. 

James