All over the world, more people are buying cars and using gas as growth in the global economy increases the demand for fuel. Likewise, oil supplies are projected to get tighter and tighter.
“China was at 5 million barrels a day in 2005. Today, they are at 10 (million). By 2015, they are going to be at 15-million-barrels-a-day demand,” said John Hofmeister, former president of Shell Oil and founder of Citizens for Affordable Energy. “That’s 10 million new barrels over 10 years. India is going from 4 to 7 (million) in the next three to four years.”
President Obama recognizes the coming explosion in demand.
…..The president, however, argues that more drilling is not the way to protect the U.S. Instead, he wants to wean the U.S. off oil by turning to alternatives, such as electric cars.
“If we want to stabilize energy prices for the long term and the medium term, if we want America to grow, we’re going to have look past what we’ve been doing and put ourselves on the path to a real, sustainable energy future,” he said.
It’s difficult to know where to start with this madness. So, I’ll just randomly pick an easy issue to start with and work out from there.
Apparently, president Obama doesn’t realize that the electric part of the hybrid cars don’t work very well. They get about 25 miles/charge. (Chevy Volt) The Nissan Leaf, an all electric gets about 75. And I suppose that would be great for running errands and what not. Of course, the price tag on these things start at about $35,000 so widespread adoption would have to assume a significant economic upturn.
It also assumes we would have significantly increased our electrical generation capacity. You know, that generation which coincides with all of the coal plant closings. And the whopping two new nuclear plant openings.
It also assumes a couple of significant infrastructure improvements and changes. If these are to be widely adopted, houses and parking places will need places to plug in. We’ll also need so roadside charging places, but that’s not very practical….. it takes the Leaf 7-20 hrs to charge from a dead battery.
Oh, I forgot to add, the Volt stores 16 kWh in its battery. (But doesn’t use it all) Assuming one uses most of its battery on daily runs, (I live 14 miles from my job) then you’re electric consumption would increase by about 400-500kWh/month depending upon the AC/DC conversion ratio. Hopefully, you wouldn’t be on one of those tiered usage schemes like they have in Cali. If this becomes widely adopted, expect the cost of energy to significantly increase. If the cost goes to 20 cents a kWh, then we’re losing the cost differential of electricity to gasoline. Assuming a 25mpg vehicle and $3.00/gallon, the it’s a push at 20 cents/kWh.
Of course, this doesn’t begin to address our transport of goods and mass transit. Trains, planes, trucks and tractors? Earth moving equipment and construction? Are we going to make a battery powered tank anytime soon?
Okay, so maybe electric cars aren’t a good option, we’ve also got……. well, uhmm, you see…… well, we’ve got nothing. We rushed headlong in pursuing the electric car pipedream. We’ve funded R&D on it, it’s had the best PR in the world, and it still isn’t selling. We’ve literally spent $billions pursuing this silliness. And we’ve got little to show for the investment.
Natural gas and/or hydrogen fueled vehicles could work, but the energy one gets from these fuels are rather poor compared to gasoline. Energy density. I wonder where we’d be in this regard if we hadn’t pissed away our research money on electric vehicles? Or what new technology could have been developed towards this issue?
The point is, at this point, pursuing alternatives is foolish…… mostly because there are no alternatives.
Read more: here.