Yes, the headline may be a bit misleading. I’ve done this to illustrate how people pick up bits of polling information and twist it to fit their desires.
It has recently come to my attention that a new poll was conducted about American’s belief in Global Warming. It has been picked up and run with on several news outlets. It is a Reuters/Ipsos poll. The headlines read something like “More Americans believe world is warming:” And then they quote the poll, “The percentage of Americans who believe in global warming rose to 83 percent in 2011, from last year’s 75 percent, the poll conducted Sept. 8-12 found out.” And then the story goes on to babble about Republican candidates and reiterate the bogus claim “…Rise in the number of natural disasters including the Hurricane Irene …”
Now, this runs counter to all the polls I’m familiar with so I set out to see what I could find out about this poll. It took some doing…… about 1/2 of digging. I’ve posted my findings at Steve’s, but I’ll place them here, too.
The poll was bogus.
From the poll “Interviewers were instructed to ask to speak with the youngest household member age 18 or older who was available to be interviewed.” So, right off the bat they skew the demographics. For some strange reason, they also intentionally skewed the gender demographics, “The initial request was for the youngest male during 75% of the calls and for the youngest female in the remaining 25%.”
From the same poll, on the question of importance, from extremely to very important, it is down from 44.17% to 41.63 %
On causation, “Things people do” —- Down from 30.56% to 26.60%.
The Headline Only 1/4 of Americans think global warming is entirely Anthropogenic!would be equally valid.
And finally, the question to the answer………..
Q12. “You may have heard about the idea that the world’s temperature may have been going up slowly over the past 100 years. What is your personal opinion on this – do you think this has probably been happening, or do you think it probably has not been happening?”
You can read the poll here, —– http://www.ipsos-na.com/download/pr.aspx?id=10987
I don’t know of any skeptic that doesn’t accept the possibility of the the earth’s temps slowly rising over 100 years. Most of us accept that it has, and, in fact, we often point to the recorded temps in times past when we ridicule people believing a warmer earth is somehow more volatile.