So, I was lurking at WUWT and saw that I almost missed the annual minimum sea ice extent prediction. I saw Smokey chatting with a person that stated, “Remember the predictions, on this site, made just a couple years ago, that we were going to return to 1979 ice extent levels and recuperate ice thickness in a few years(!)?”
So, me being me, full of beer and wondering what the heck, what’s wrong with the sea ice? We all know 4 years ago the bottom just about dropped out, but since then, in spite of the reality denying lunatic fringe, its been recovering just fine. Then I remembered my recent excursions to sodahead and realized that us skeptics are probably about the only group of people on earth that actually look for information when dire and extreme claims are made.
So, here’s my offering of reality. This graph is made from the data available here. http://www.ijis.iarc.uaf.edu/seaice/extent/plot.csv Seeing that the minimum occurs in September, I simply graphed from the 1st of Sept. to the end of Sept. for each year starting in 2007 and added the linear trend line. While the dates aren’t listed, (formatting or beer issue, I haven’t decided what I’m going to blame this on, yet) the dates are easily discerned by looking at the point to point. For the novice, this represents the lowest part of this spaghetti graph. http://www.ijis.iarc.uaf.edu/seaice/extent/AMSRE_Sea_Ice_Extent_L.png
The numbers going vertical are km^2.
Yes, the ice cube at the top of the world is still there and doing fine. The poley bears can rest easy……..seals, not so much.