Global Food Production Per Capita Continues To Rise!

 

One of the biggest blathering talking points about climate change is the proclamations that it’s causing a decrease in the food yields world wide.  Of course this is utter nonsense and superstitious rot.  There are some who proclaim to uphold the tenets of science and babble this idiocy.  But, one of the things people do in science is to actually look at the data! 

How does one proclaim to be a supporter and adhere to scientific methods is they refuse to look at the actual data?  Well, they can proclaim all they wish.  But, it is this most unscientific behavior which is embraced by the climate nutters.  When the data doesn’t support their idiocy, they refuse to look or even acknowledge the data.  We see this all the time.  Hurricanes, droughts, floods…… it doesn’t matter.  Food production is no exception to this.

A common meme is that climate change is causing people to starve.  In spite of the pronouncements of doom and gloom.  And bedwetting over floods and droughts and other such natural occurrences, we see that food production, per capita, continues to increase!

image

This graph was taken from FAOSTAT is the Food and Agriculture Organization of the UN.  They do weird stuff like track food production.  Please note the pale orange line which starts at 80 on the vertical scale, left side.  Oh, that’s the world production.

Yesterday, we had the pleasure of a person coming by and among many other stupid utterances, this person babbled that grain yields were decreasing since 1985, per capita.  Of course, grain yields are not all that makes up food, but, the impression he was trying to give was that people had less food per person.  He provided a link.  Apparently, it’s part of a classroom text.  This is unfortunate, because this means our children are being taught gibberish.  The author of the science fiction presented this graphic…..

image

Which caused inane babbling about grain yields decreasing since 1985.  But, again, we see this is simply some idiot trying to squeeze some alarming data from good data.  Now, it can’t be known what the exact cutoff date the author was using, but he or she did reference FAO World Food Summit 1996.  But, if we go back to 1996 or even 1997 we see this was a fabrication.

image

This was just another nutter preying upon the gullibility of the other nutters.  Even so, our visitor should have known that the text they referenced was entirely dated.  So, even if it was true at the time, it isn’t necessarily true today. 

I provided a link to graphs and data, but, our visitor refused to go see for himself, instead opting to believe the bedwetting hyperbole of a kindred ideologue. 

So, what is global food production per capita?  Not content to just look at the top graph here, I downloaded the data and graphed it myself, starting at 1980.  It’s easier to see…….

image

Now, I would provide a trend line, but I hardly think it necessary.  Food production per capita, hasn’t been decreasing since 1985, it has been increasing.  And at a very steady pace. 

Now, for those who are incredulous about the information I’ve provided, please see FAOSTAT to verify what I’ve presented. That is, after all, what a person of science, being skeptical would do. 

Reality…… destroying errant world views one mind at time. 

My thanks to David for being the impetus of this post. 

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22 Responses to Global Food Production Per Capita Continues To Rise!

  1. DirkH says:

    Just for completeness, in about 1970 the production of calories per day and capita in Europe stalled at about 6,000. Malthusians love to use this fact to show that there is a limit to production. The reality for this stalling is, though, that we simply have not enough pigs to feed further production to; lately we have overcome this problem by starting to use agricultural area for fuel. I’m not saying that that is a very sane or economic policy given current oil prices, but it’s what we do to give farmers something to do.

    And to obfuscate the enormity of production the Malthusians love to “normalize” production to 100 for a given start year; it would simply not be very didactic to show their brainwashing victim that the level is at 6000 calories per capita and day. The art of science communication. Like using anomalies instead of real temperatures in climate science.

    • suyts says:

      Exactly true. I was going to mention Europe, but, time was a consideration. Volumes can be wrote about this issue. But, the nutters won’t read it or look at the actual numbers.

    • Bruce says:

      After the infamous ‘wine lake’ and ‘butter mountain’ the EC started to pay farmers to take land out of production. Still going on under CAP as far as I know.

  2. philjourdan says:

    He refuses to discuss, he just dismisses. Then he turns around and accuses those who are trying to discuss of the crimes he is guilty of. I do not know what his purpose in coming here is. Perhaps it is to demonstrate what jerks the alarmists are. That is all he is accomplishing. Even Tony Duncan does not jump in and support him. Which says that his behavior is indefensible.

  3. Latitude says:

    two things come to mind first….
    processing, transporation, etc have changed massively since 1950

    …..even with the conversion to biofuels……production of food is still going up

  4. tckev says:

    Mankind has proved very good at producing food of all kinds fairly efficiently. Unfortunately we still have not cracked it when it comes to global distribution and safe warehousing of this wealth.
    http://www.imeche.org/docs/default-source/reports/Global_Food_Report.pdf‎

  5. copernicus34 says:

    Apple? Apple? where art thou?

    • suyts says:

      I’m sure he’s doing what any good science journalist would do…… he’s penning a story, as we speak, correcting the errant assumptions many have about our food production! /snarc

    • Jim Masterson says:

      Did we trade pH for Apple? They seem to have the same affect on this blog. They post dozens of comments and jump to so many topics that it’s like trying to play “Whack-a-Mole” with their misstatements. Didn’t anyone teach these leftist to stay on task for a least two minutes?

      Jim

  6. Latitude says:

    do those graphs take into count how much food/cereal/corn was diverted to bio-fuel?

  7. Jim Masterson says:

    I had an argument with a climate nutter about corn. He said that warming temperatures would “move” the corn producing region in North America northward. That would cause problems because the northern regions are not as fertile as the present corn producing regions.

    The problem with this scenario is that corn is a tropical plant. If the world was actually warming, then the corn producing regions would “expand” towards the north. Also corn is a hybrid plant and every year new strains are produced. That means that seed producers could create new strains that possessed the necessary properties to compensate for the change in temperature. (Another little fact is that AGW is supposed to warm the temperate regions more than the tropical regions.)

    It was also argued (by others) that corn, being a C4 plant, wouldn’t “like” more CO2. The CO2 Science site–using actual published results–doesn’t seem to support this scenario either(http://www.co2science.org/data/plant_growth/photo/photo_subject_c.php). Another advantage for plants that grow in higher levels of CO2 is that they become more drought and ozone tolerant in addition to enjoying the “fertilizing” effects of CO2.

    Jim

  8. TM says:

    Grain production per capita has peaked in 1985. Total food supply hasn’t yet declined on a per capita basis, it has just kept pace. It reached 2,700 kcal/capita/day in 1997 and 2,800 in 2006 (http://faostat3.fao.org/faostat-gateway/go/to/download/C/CC/E). Grain yield has been increasing at a constant linear rate since 1960. If this trend continues (and there is absolutely no reason to expect better, only reasons to expect worse: http://www.slideshare.net/amenning/world-hunger-and-food-security), per capita grain production will inevitably continue to decline for the foreseeable future.

    This isn’t immediately alarming considering that just reducing post-harvest food waste would go a long way towards improved food safety. But you cannot actually look at the empirical data and claim with a straight face that there is no problem feeding the world in the coming decades, with Climate Change certain to increase harvest volatility (as the 2012 US corn harvest amply demonstrated). Further alarming is the increasing abuse of food for feeding cars, an insane waste of resources for literally no net gain at all except higher profits for the ag-industry (http://www.slideshare.net/amenning/quantitative-problems-food-security).

    • suyts says:

      TM, thanks for commenting. It’s rare that I get a moron to display their ignorance, anymore. Had you bothered to read my post, rather than reacting to the information you hate, you would have noted my source for the graphs. Idiot. Apparently, you’re unaware that there are people who can actually look at the figures and understand what they are saying. Also, apparently, you cannot.

      Try running the numbers, again, sis, or, if you’re having a hard time with them, ask a grade school math teacher for help. Or, if you prefer, you can ask me or many of the other commenters, here, and I’m sure they’d be happy to help you. I certainly would be. I’ll try to go slower for you the next time I post on crop production, per capita.

      You are now approved for commenting so you don’t have to wait in moderation.

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