Met Office says 2013 likely to be one of warmest years on record!!!

 

This should be fun.  The Met is chronically wrong on their predictions.  In fact, they were so wrong at times, I thought they quit the practice of predicting the weather?  At any rate, they’re at it again

Global temperatures are forecast to be 0.57C above the long-term average next year, making 2013 one of the warmest years on record, the Met Office said on Thursday.

I suppose it is all in how one views it.  I find it fascinating that they would be so precise in their prediction.  0.57C……   But, seeing how they utilize the great sciency averaging formula, I guess, this is what you get.  The article points out how accurate they were this year….

The global average temperature for 2012 falls well within the range predicted by the Met Office for 2012 of between 0.34 °C and 0.62 °C, with a most likely value of 0.48 °C. 

Using the monthly data, up through October, the mean is 0.4124°C.  Of course, this is an  indistinguishable difference and fairly meaningless for us normal and rational individuals, but for the warmista, being that far off is pretty significant.   The near 0.3°C range was pretty funny for last year, seeing that all of the wailing and gnashing of the teeth is about 1/2 degree change. 

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25 Responses to Met Office says 2013 likely to be one of warmest years on record!!!

  1. jimash1 says:

    It is beyond ridiculous.
    Half a fracking degree.
    But it looks big in the charts. http://www.newscientist.com/data/images/ns/cms/dn11639/dn11639-2_808.jpg
    Assuming this is right ( and we KNOW it isn’t. )
    I am just not getting it. Half a degree down as it was in the 19th century was ok ?
    But half a degree up is catastrophic ?
    And uh its cold too.

    • suyts says:

      Yes, from now, scientists will be doing all sorts of analysis on the air trapped in the ice from this era. They’ll be searching for that something in the air that made many of the people of this world complete imbeciles. Yeh, 1/2 this way and we’re safe! 1/2 degree the other and all hell breaks loose!!

    • DirkH says:

      Half a degree up in the UK would be wonderful, but imagine how many people would die in the Arctis – yes in the Arctis, because CO2AGW will warm the poles more than the UK and the UK more than equatorial regions.

      Wait, I’ll try again…

  2. miked1947 says:

    There are no error bars in forecasts! There are no error bars in projections! If they read temperatures in “WHOLE” numbers they should not be reporting results in less than “Whole” numbers. They are using not only VooDoo Science they are also using VooDoo statistics.

    • miked1947 says:

      Most likely they are predicting how good they can be at fudging the results, rather than what reality provides.

    • suyts says:

      Yeh, that’s more the test than their accuracy. Can they fudge them to meet their predictions without too many people calling attention to it.

    • Jim Masterson says:

      >>
      miked1947 says:
      December 22, 2012 at 5:40 pm

      There are no error bars in forecasts! There are no error bars in projections!
      <<

      Some of those error bars are ± 100%. That famous Trenberth energy diagram has no error bars either. If it did, then their conclusions would look ridiculous.

      Jim

  3. DaveG says:

    The MET Office say they need a new computer to get their predictions right.
    Why not just buy Pier’s Corbyn put him in a weather cage, he seems to know everything, problem solved?

  4. jimash1 says:

    It is also tasteless to publish this warming science tripe when people are freezing to death and inclement weather is paralyzing much of the northern hemisphere.

  5. DirkH says:

    They’ve been paid very handsomely in the past for behaving like this so they are conditioned to continue it.

    I just watched an economic video on zerohedge with two guys talking about China, rather interesting, and then the audience could ask questions. One from “Berkshire Financial” I think, so probably a Warren Buffet wage slave, asked “What with all the long term problems like global warming, will the US and China work together about that”. The Chinese guy declined to answer, the American guy gave a longwinded answer, mentioned lots of interesting long term problems like military confrontation etc, said it would be very important to work together but no, we only debate short term problems, then the moderator said, times up, next question.

    You could actually feel that both of them were utterly disinterested in the most pressing problem of mankind…

  6. Me says:

    MET office, BWAAAAAAAHAHAHAHAHAHA, but then again it’s in their nature, they can’t help it.

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